| 丁璐璐,朱 健,张永辉.启东市1972~2011年胃癌发病趋势分析[J].中国肿瘤,2014,23(8):642-647. |
| 启东市1972~2011年胃癌发病趋势分析 |
| An Analysis of Incidence Trend of Stomach Cancer in Qidong，1972~2０11 |
| 投稿时间：2014-04-14 |
| DOI：10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2014.08.A004 |
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| 中文关键词: 胃癌 发病率 流行病学 启东 |
| 英文关键词:stomach cancer incidence epidemiology Qidong |
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| 摘要点击次数: 1906 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 摘 要：［目的］ 探讨启东市1972~2011年胃癌发病率变化趋势。［方法］ 基于启东市1972~2011年癌症发病登记数据库，对胃癌发病率作性别、年龄别、时间趋势分析，计算指标包括粗发病率、中国人口标化率（中标率）、世界人口标化率（世标率）、35~64岁截缩率、0~74岁累积率、累积风险、变化百分比（PC）及年均变化百分比（APC）等。［结果］ 1972~2011年启东胃癌发病15 401例（男性9804例，女性5597例），粗发病率为34.26/10万，占全部癌症发病的16.60%，位居癌症发病第2位。中标率和世标率分别为16.25/10万和25.59/10万；35~64岁截缩发病率为40.03/10万；0~74岁累积发病率为3.15%，累积风险为3.10%。40年间胃癌发病的粗率、中标率和世标率的变化百分比（PC）分别为+21.90%、-55.32%与-51.20%，年均变化百分比（APC）分别为+0.49%、-2.12%、-2.06%。各时期胃癌发病率显示25~74岁各年龄组的发病率有下降趋势。年龄—出生队列方法分析显示，25~79岁各年龄组出生队列发病率有下降趋势。［结论］ 启东胃癌40年粗发病率总体维持在较高水平，但标化发病率已呈下降趋势。启东人群中胃癌的进一步下降，是可以预期的。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Abstract：［Purpose］ To investigate the incidence trend of stomach cancer from 1972 to 2011 in Qidong.［Methods］ The cancer registration data of 1972～2011 were collected and analyzed for the incidence of stomach cancer by gender，age，and time trend. Crude incidence，age-standardized incidence by Chinese standard population(ASR China) and by world standard population(ASR world)，truncated rate (35～64 age years old)，cumulative rate (0～74 age years old)，cumulative risk，percentage change (PC)，annual percentage change (APC)，incidence by period and birth-cohort were calculated.［Results］ The new stomach cancer cases were 15 401(male 9804，female 5597) from 1972 to 2011，accounted for 16.60% of the total cancer incidence，ranked 2nd. The crude incidence，ASR China and ASR world were 34.26/105，16.25/105 and 25.59/105，respectively. Truncated rate (35～64 age years old)，cumulative rate (0～74 age years old) and cumulative risk were 40.03/105，3.15% and 3.10%，respectively. During the forty years period，the PCs of crude incidence，ASR China and ASR world of stomach cancer were +21.90%，-55.32% and -51.20%，and the APCs，+0.49%，-2.12% and -2.06%，respectively. Age-specific incidence rates by period decreased with age in people among 25～74 years，and birth-cohort incidence showed down trends among 25～79 years. ［Conclusion］ The incidence of stomach cancer during 1972～2011 in Qidong maintained at a higher level，but the age-standardized rates were descending. The further tendency of falling in stomach cancer could be anticipated. |
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