贺 琴,查震球,贾尚春.2009—2018年安徽省淮河两岸地区恶性肿瘤死亡率变化趋势[J].中国肿瘤,2021,30(3):206-210.
2009—2018年安徽省淮河两岸地区恶性肿瘤死亡率变化趋势
Trends of Cancer Mortality in the Areas Along Huaihe River in Anhui Province,2009—2018
中文关键词  修订日期:2020-05-29
DOI:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2021.03.A004
中文关键词:  恶性肿瘤  死亡率  时间趋势  年度变化百分比  安徽  淮河流域
英文关键词:malignant tumor  mortality  time trend  annual percentage change  Anhui  Huaihe River basin
基金项目:国家重点研发计划 (2016YFC1302605)
作者单位
贺 琴 安徽省疾病预防控制中心 
查震球 安徽省疾病预防控制中心 
贾尚春 安徽省疾病预防控制中心 
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中文摘要:
      摘 要:[目的] 分析安徽省淮河两岸地区恶性肿瘤死亡率时间变化趋势。[方法] 收集安徽省淮河两岸地区5个县区2009—2018年恶性肿瘤死亡数据,标化死亡率采用2000年中国人口普查标准人口进行标化,采用年度变化百分比(APC)分析死亡率时间变化趋势,并用年度变化贡献率分析各个癌种对恶性肿瘤死亡率趋势的贡献大小。[结果] 无论性别,2009—2018年安徽省淮河两岸地区恶性肿瘤标化死亡率均呈下降趋势,但年均降幅较小。各癌种变化趋势不尽相同,其中食管癌、胃癌、肝癌下降较为明显,女性乳腺癌和宫颈癌上升明显。女性乳腺癌和宫颈癌APC分别为4.60%和12.45%,对女性恶性肿瘤上升趋势的贡献达85.21%。[结论] 去除人口老龄化因素,自2009年以来安徽省淮河两岸地区恶性肿瘤死亡率有所下降,但降幅较小。消化系统恶性肿瘤死亡率呈下降趋势或可归功于癌症早诊早治项目工作的开展。妇女“两癌”防治值得重视。
英文摘要:
      Abstract:[Purpose] To analyze the time trends of malignant tumor mortality in the areas along Huaihe River of Anhui province,2009—2018.[Methods] The mortality data of malignant tumors in the areas along Huaihe River of Anhui province from 2009 to 2018 were collected and analyzed. The age-standardized mortality was calculated using Chinese population census in 2000. The annual percentage change(APC) was used to analyze the time trend of the mortality,and the contribution rate of different cancers to annual change was also analyzed.[Results] The age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR) of malignant tumor in the areas along Huaihe River of Anhui province from 2009 to 2018 showed a slight downward trend for both genders. The mortality rate of esophageal cancer,gastric cancer and liver cancer decreased significantly,while cervical cancer and female breast cancer increased significantly. The APC of cervical cancer and female breast cancer mortality rate was 12.45% and 4.60%,respectively,which contributed 85.21% to the rising trend of mortality rate of female malignant tumors. [Conclusion] After removing the factors of population aging,the mortality rate of malignant tumor in the areas along Huaihe River in Anhui province has decreased lightly since 2009. The downward trend of mortality of digestive tract cancers may be attributed to the cancer screening programs. Special attention should be paid to the prevention and treatment of “two cancers” in women.
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